69 Comments

Excellent and horrifying summary of the longer article! (And good call to make it more succinct for the general public.) Your hard work and obvious dedication is much appreciated by this citizen champion for scientific integrity and truth!

Expand full comment
Nov 12, 2023Liked by Fabian Spieker

This seems to point to the "intended outcome" whereby a well planned campaign to "explain fatalities as being caused by 'the disease' rather than the vaccine (within certain, and relatively few batches or lots) with the specific mechanism being obscured both by the propaganda and the disingenuous removal of the newly vaccinated from the vaccinated cohort, since the vaccine was claimed to be ineffective within the given 28 days (or similar timeline - I seem to remember varying limits by locality?). That ongoing campaign to obscure the vaccinated and unvaccinated became critical to promulagating the ideology and propaganda of Covid and remains so today with many learned people struggling to clarify this abuse of science. We should be wary of this technique and your work may be significant ultimately in this exposure. Anyway just a spitball from me ....

Expand full comment

Thank you for clarifying! I would like to include your plot chart in a compendium I'm preparing called "Mechanisms of Harm: Medicine in the Time of Covid-19." Your work is amazing, but hard to understand for those of us who are not so attuned to the scientific/mathematical/engineering-type way of thinking ;-). My intention is to explain your chart in a way that makes it accessible and crystal clear to the average person just how devastating these Covid shots have been. Thank you again for your remarkable efforts.

Expand full comment
Nov 9, 2023·edited Nov 9, 2023Liked by Fabian Spieker

It’s bizarre that “excess deaths” is no longer a story of interest to the “watchdog” press or official “truth-seeking” organizations. In short, many people in an official and “trusted” capacity should have done this same research and analysis. As you point out, maybe they did. The important point is that this analysis CANNOT reach the mainstream public (see this article):

https://billricejr.substack.com/p/why-excess-deaths-cant-be-a-story?utm_source=profile&utm_medium=reader2

In another recent article, I argue that “Covid” as we know it could not have happened WITHOUT excess deaths. A virus that’s not deadly wouldn’t serve the Establishment’s purposes. So they had to have massive numbers of panic-causing “excess deaths.” My hunch has always been that the Covid PCR tests were manipulated (via cycle thresholds) to create the requisite number of Covid cases … and then, more importantly, “Covid deaths.”

As the author points out in this excellent piece, the real excess deaths were caused entirely by the “life-saving” non-vaccines and iatrogenic/panic factors including collateral deaths from lockdowns, etc. A novel new virus - created in a lab or emerging from some bats in China - did NOT cause this massive spike in deaths. The mandated/coerced responses of our “leaders” caused these deaths … which are still occurring.

https://billricejr.substack.com/p/the-pandemics-start-date-had-to-be?utm_source=profile&utm_medium=reader2

Expand full comment

Thanks for your service!

Expand full comment

Excellent Viz and Reporting skills. Highly recommend for any data-interested professional

Expand full comment
Nov 8, 2023Liked by Fabian Spieker

Excellent summation Fabian, but speaking as a lay person (who appreciates the simplification), I would like to know what your opposition would say to this ( I do not mean the ones who would play the game of "its oversimplification and therefore invalid statistically")? I understand, from Wilson Sy's argument about the Bradford Hill criterion of temporality with regard to excess mortality and the inevitable causality that may be attributed to the injections, which is apparent here too with your article, but to translate this into the popular domain, exposing their lies, remains the stumbling block. Most people will not engage with this evidence, don't understand it, cannot read the graphs or the intricacies of specialised debate, etc (I'm sure you know only too well). Our Senator Malcolm Roberts tried to supply the Big Pharma stooges with Wilson's artcle in our Australian Senate last week, they snubbed him and proferred "a peer-reviewed, published article" which, they claimed proves the "safety of the vaccines". Same lies, different venue .... Anyway the point is we need to compile the arguments, provide the simplified versions for the layperson, anticipate the lies and distortions, expose those too and have a global clearinghouse for the key arguments. It is just this latter aspect that we seem to lack - but your contribution here is invaluable and I thank you for every number analysed and every tear shed in your manifest humanity.

Expand full comment
Nov 19, 2023Liked by Fabian Spieker

Fabian, really interesting analysis, thanks! When I have time I hope to dig into your longer article, but just from reading this abbreviated version, something doesn't add up. Your analysis led you to the conclusion that during Q3/2021, "we can chalk all 'COVID deaths' up to vaccinations." That doesn't match my personal experience at all. Briefly:

In Q3/2021, the Delta wave was going around here (Texas). My wife and I both had it, with upper respiratory infections, loss of energy, loss of smell (her), etc. We are healthy and took IVM etc. and were OK. We had dear friends here who were hospitalized for weeks with severe pneumonia and on death's door, including one in his 40s and two in their 70s. All these survived but it was extremely rough. A fourth died. (These others weren't on IVM etc., just following medical advice and using over-the-counter cold medications, etc.).

What troubles me with respect to your analysis is that NONE of us was vaccinated. So, clearly, there was a severe viral infection going around that was causing respiratory distress and other symptoms, and this was affecting non-vaccinated people. And that includes people who were truly non-vaccinated, not just vaccinated less than two weeks before illness. This anecdotal experience reflects what was reported by many health agencies. So if all COVID deaths during this time was in recently vaccinated people, how do you account for all the rest of us who also got severely ill (or died) at that time? It makes me wonder about your calculations and whether the data sources are reliable or if perhaps there are assumptions used in your calculations that are unjustified.

Thank-you, and I apologize in advance if you already addressed this concern elsewhere because I only discovered your Substack 30 minutes ago!.

Expand full comment

Thanks very much!

Expand full comment
Nov 16, 2023·edited Nov 16, 2023Liked by Fabian Spieker

How is Hatu (UT - that ain't University of Texas) so low when "The Prophet" strongly suggested people get vaccinated?

Expand full comment

Great , detailed, important work. Thank you! A couple of questions:

1) Why do you list the days on the plot chart as 0.01, 0.02 - instead of saying Day 1, Day 2, etc.? I shared the plot chart with someone and that was his first question, to which I had no answer.

2) You say "COVID mortality would've been negligible without first doses being administered at the time, so we can chalk all “COVID deaths” up to vaccinations." Is that statement based on looking at Covid deaths for each of the age groups, before the rollout of the vaccines, and comparing with increased Covid deaths post-vaccination? e.g. 25-year olds did not die of Covid in 2020, but all of a sudden, after the first shot, they did

Expand full comment
Nov 10, 2023Liked by Fabian Spieker

Thanks Fabian for that explanation, I am somewhat the wiser. It sounds rather like the concerns I saw Geert Van den Bossche make in relation to non-sterilizing/non-neutralising ABs when the jab roll-outs/mandates started...

Expand full comment
Nov 9, 2023Liked by Fabian Spieker

Well again from a lay perspective, the Ct-values would potentially add another layer of confusion. However, it did stand out to me when I saw the video of Kary Mullis noting that his PCR invention could not be used for determining virus and should never be used above 20 cycles. Then we had the revelations of the German head of health (Doesten is it?) demanding 44 cycles for the PCR tests! But I am not sure I have understood you correctly? You say the scientific literature is devoid of the data on Ct-values but that "we should see exceptionally low values during each vax wave". do you mean therefore that the nucleic acid will show up in the successive waves at lower and lower Ct levels due to spike protein/LNP? You see how a layperson can trip over themselves here?

My point though would probably be one of my first impressions from your data - how can we see that very link between doses and deaths (data is anonymised right)? I don't think the average person would think differently but I acknowledge that if people understood Ct-values (and if my understanding here is right) then your point would be invaluable - its a long and difficult road to hoe by such a route ... So if I have any advice it would be steer away from the needles in haystacks and provide more of the graphic evidence you have deciphered from the US data for other countries. When I first strayed (or stumbled) across these correlations it was the temporality of deaths and doses from the World Data (John Hopkins) graphs. I showed the Indian results to an Indian engineer who had just returned from India (jabbed and suffering from family loss) and he flat out denied it. It wasn't the first example of studied blindness (free floating anxiety) I had witnessed but it was startling in its determination of denial. He remains so to this day, though a little less fervently. The walls will come down. Cheers!

Expand full comment
Nov 8, 2023Liked by Fabian Spieker

Thank you for laying this out so clearly. Heartbreaking it is, and no way it's not by design.

Expand full comment
Nov 8, 2023Liked by Fabian Spieker

Exactly. Thank you for putting reality reinforcement to my many 'anecdotals'. And still so many ppl getting pneumonia, many recurrently. Will be interesting to see how pneumonia deaths rise 2021-2025 compared to say 2015-2020.

Expand full comment
Nov 8, 2023Liked by Fabian Spieker

Wake the F up people! Stop ignoring what’s right in front of you. Admit you were wrong and move on!!!

Expand full comment