I was also thinking that existing data (if anyone could even access it) is going to be age-dependent:
-- a 24-year-old couple who stopped using birth control isn't going to pay thousands of dollars and go to a fertility clinic if they didn't get pregnant yet, whereas couples in their 40s might if they could afford it. Therefore ferti…
I was also thinking that existing data (if anyone could even access it) is going to be age-dependent:
-- a 24-year-old couple who stopped using birth control isn't going to pay thousands of dollars and go to a fertility clinic if they didn't get pregnant yet, whereas couples in their 40s might if they could afford it. Therefore fertility clinic data should be analyzed within narrow age bands.
-- women experiencing their first pregnancy loss (probably younger) are more likely to go to the hospital (thus generating data), whereas women who are familiar with the process (likely older) will stay comfortably at home, and that data will not exist. Again, I would guess that analyzing narrow age bands and extrapolating the data to other ages would give a truer picture than one large statistic.
Yeah good points, but it's hard to even get monthly data for all these variables.
I just looked into state-level Swiss data and found a strong correlation of 0.67 between marriages and live births (surprise surprise), but no correlation between live births and vaccinations. Live births per marriage correlate very weakly positively (0.07) with vaccinations.
We all know various mechanisms by which these vaccines inhibit fertility. Nearly all drugs do. I'm starting to think the impact of the vaccines on fertility isn't nearly as strong as many people seem to believe though.
Otherwise we should really see a birth rate drop in Portugal, which has the highest vaccination rate in Europe, but higher than average fertility in 2022.
I am gonna have to keep collecting data country by country and run some regressions. We should have a clearer picture of what is going on eventually.
Right now my it seems agitation is the much bigger factor between agitation and vaccines.
True.
I was also thinking that existing data (if anyone could even access it) is going to be age-dependent:
-- a 24-year-old couple who stopped using birth control isn't going to pay thousands of dollars and go to a fertility clinic if they didn't get pregnant yet, whereas couples in their 40s might if they could afford it. Therefore fertility clinic data should be analyzed within narrow age bands.
-- women experiencing their first pregnancy loss (probably younger) are more likely to go to the hospital (thus generating data), whereas women who are familiar with the process (likely older) will stay comfortably at home, and that data will not exist. Again, I would guess that analyzing narrow age bands and extrapolating the data to other ages would give a truer picture than one large statistic.
Yeah good points, but it's hard to even get monthly data for all these variables.
I just looked into state-level Swiss data and found a strong correlation of 0.67 between marriages and live births (surprise surprise), but no correlation between live births and vaccinations. Live births per marriage correlate very weakly positively (0.07) with vaccinations.
We all know various mechanisms by which these vaccines inhibit fertility. Nearly all drugs do. I'm starting to think the impact of the vaccines on fertility isn't nearly as strong as many people seem to believe though.
Otherwise we should really see a birth rate drop in Portugal, which has the highest vaccination rate in Europe, but higher than average fertility in 2022.
I am gonna have to keep collecting data country by country and run some regressions. We should have a clearer picture of what is going on eventually.
Right now my it seems agitation is the much bigger factor between agitation and vaccines.