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Jan 4, 2023Liked by Fabian Spieker

Extra like for the "What's next?" section. It is easy to overfit some model to data, and hard to assess stability of the model.

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Jan 4, 2023·edited Jan 5, 2023Author

I am quite anxious. I have all the data I need, but haven't actually taken a look yet due to being busy with this article.

If three variables (second shots, boosters, bivalents) each explain the pandemic that followed with the same formula this precisely, I can't see any better explanation.

The main reason why I am so optimistic though is that I know lot more about the data then I've had the chance to say.

There will be more articles about how OWID distorts the truth. The real growth constant is different because OWID also stretches all vaccination data. The model works even on the stretched data, but all other data sources say they're forging the data.

It's financed by the BMGatesF by the way. They took their name off the funding page though. I guess the man is just protecting his investment. :D

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Jan 4, 2023Liked by Fabian Spieker

If boosters caused Omicron, and Omicron elbowed the deadlier strains away, it sounds like boosters may have actually been good for something. I'm a pureblood, getting any of these jabs was clearly stupid, from the beginning, and I'm supposedly in a risk group at 72. And it remains to be seen where Omicron goes from here, we could end up with a virulent strain. And the jabs may have made serial infections the norm for many. So, not saying either the jabs or Omicron are good, it's just hard to miss that one possible silver lining.

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Jan 4, 2023·edited Jan 4, 2023Author

A friend of mine reacted the same way and I can't say I disagree.

The bivalent boosters are already forcing a new variant to spread. It was named XBB.1.5, ironically enough.

Unless the immune pressure is introducing a bias for more pathogenic variants, I can't see any problem with people boosting themselves to the moon if they so desire. That will delay any potential overpopulation we might one day run into. ;)

I just don't like the dishonesty.

Today I read an article that claimed XBB is spreading because not enough people took the bivalent boosters. This is not just a lie, it is the exact opposite of the truth.

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Or without the boosters, the pandemic may simply have ended sooner without Omicron. Delta and its descendants would have become endemic sooner. And since there was more than one Delta strain, with some much worse than others, the milder ones would have likely won out. And reinfections, especially serial ones within 90 days of each other, would have remained largely unheard of.

Of course, without the original jabs in the first place, there would have been far less wind in Delta's sails, as Delta was a partial escape variant essentially selected by the jabs.

Note that in Sweden and South Dakota, Delta had practically no teeth, but Omicron did somewhat.

And now the bivalent boosters begat XBB and XBB1.5.....

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Well-done. Looks pretty damning for the jabs, especially the boosters.

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This just was posted, are you familiar with that study?

https://stevekirsch.substack.com/p/very-large-cleveland-clinic-study

"Very large Cleveland Clinic study shows more vaccines make you more likely to get COVID"

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By early 2022 by my recollection, I was hearing news from doctors, virologists and experts on immunization that the vaccines were making people breeding grounds for more variants not covered by the current booster. This would make it easy to mandate more boosters with more spike protein to cause more chaos.

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