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Infant Deaths 2022 - Part 1
In the first part of this series I am isolating the US infant death signal on national level.
Igor Chudov recently wrote an article about Infant Mortality, which you can find here.
It motivated me to look into the matter. I have already downloaded a bunch of data from CDC Wonder and begin this article series by trying to find a signal on national level.
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An infant death is defined as the death of a child between the age of 1 day and 1 year.
I calculate monthly infant deaths per 100k by dividing the number of monthly infant deaths by the number of live births occurring in the preceding year.
To give you an example, this is how infant deaths per 100k are calculated for January, 2015:
[infant deaths 2015/01] / [live births 2014/02-2015/01]
Trend-correction is performed by determining linear trends between 2015-2019 and then adjusting the entire time series for that trend, with past data receiving the strongest adjustment. This means that the last datapoint (2022/12) will always remain untouched.
For excess mortality rates I am also using 2015-2019 infant deaths per 100k as reference.
First we are going to look at the number of infant deaths per 100k before and after trend-correction. This is very similar to what I did when I isolated the cancer signal.
In 2022, infant deaths per 100k are on the same level as they were in 2018 and significantly lower than in the 3 preceding years.
Calculating excess rates based on 2015-2019 would most definitely result in a mortality deficit in 2022.
But since we are seeing a very clear downward trend throughout these years, which can likely be attributed to advances in healthcare, I feel confident enough to adjust the data for this linear trend, which causes 2020, 2021 and 2022 to stand out, with very low infant mortality in 2020, but a clear excess in 2021 and an even larger excess in 2022.
The downward trend in infact mortality was clearly broken sometime in 2021 or 2022. This is our signal. It peaks at around +11% or 5 additional infant deaths per 100k in late 2022.
Let’s look at excess infant deaths per 100k between 2020 and 2022, using 2015-2019 as reference timeframe.
It seems infact excess mortality is surging twice. Once in 2021, shortly after vaccinations of 18-49 year old women commenced, then again in 2022, shortly before the maniacs started injecting infants with gene therapeutics.
I did the same thing for all 50 states and will now show you state-level excess infant mortality in 2022 plotted against…
…cumulative doses administered to females aged 18-49 by the end of 2021
…cumulative doses administered to infants by the end of 2022
Nothing to see here.
Again, nothing to see here, other than states like Maine, Delaware and Alaska having extremly high excess infant mortality rates. However, these are small states, so I would advise you not to overinterpret these figures.
Conclusion / Outlook
The downward trend in infant excess mortality was broken in 2021. Vaccinations alone do not explain this change in trends.
To get a better idea of what is going on, we are going to have to look into infant mortality by multiple cause of death.